Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.496155 0.574077 0.659435 0.759769 0.874370 1.001070 1.151658
2025-06-15 0.385934 0.497206 0.631633 0.805446 1.023655 1.287911 1.631547
2025-06-22 0.298442 0.416214 0.569080 0.780902 1.065531 1.433311 1.942909
2025-06-29 0.240416 0.358146 0.520306 0.758160 1.095977 1.555989 2.226755
2025-07-06 0.199370 0.314743 0.482145 0.740158 1.124596 1.672240 2.506400
2025-07-13 0.176571 0.293439 0.470967 0.756734 1.200697 1.858352 2.898524
2025-07-20 0.163187 0.284047 0.475365 0.795526 1.311766 2.103424 3.397832
2025-07-27 0.149062 0.271048 0.471776 0.820129 1.401632 2.322488 3.875104
2025-08-03 0.134062 0.254206 0.459368 0.827967 1.463825 2.501779 4.303168
2025-08-10 0.119559 0.236046 0.442169 0.824975 1.506342 2.651081 4.692884
2025-08-17 0.106032 0.217695 0.422195 0.814304 1.533501 2.775509 5.049285
2025-08-24 0.094685 0.201856 0.404712 0.805713 1.562550 2.904127 5.421480
2025-08-31 0.082251 0.182419 0.378680 0.779184 1.557874 2.976015 5.705634
2025-09-07 0.079522 0.182519 0.390442 0.826542 1.696357 3.317551 6.506572
2025-09-14 0.069610 0.165948 0.366944 0.801423 1.692582 3.396092 6.827344
2025-09-21 0.061188 0.151374 0.345665 0.778119 1.689424 3.474396 7.152476
2025-09-28 0.054257 0.139142 0.327779 0.759671 1.693751 3.566559 7.510516
2025-10-05 0.050886 0.134787 0.326502 0.776658 1.773055 3.812693 8.191637
2025-10-12 0.049432 0.134879 0.335167 0.816411 1.904313 4.173612 9.131500
2025-10-19 0.047048 0.132298 0.337346 0.841621 2.006041 4.481336 9.984832
2025-10-26 0.043781 0.126963 0.332376 0.849653 2.070113 4.714724 10.699684
2025-11-02 0.040190 0.120230 0.323192 0.846587 2.108402 4.895420 11.314881
2025-11-09 0.036537 0.112779 0.311322 0.835652 2.127238 5.034883 11.850642